AUM grew 8% over H1-24 (to 30 Sep 23) from £12.7bn to £13.7bn. Net inflows totalled +£910m (7% of opening AUM), an inflow rate far above most peers, with some experiencing substantial outflows (see page 2). Investment performance contributed +£100m to AUM. Encouragingly, Tatton reports that the level of net inflows of H1 has continued into H2.
Revenue was up 10% y-o-y from £15.9m in H1-23 to £17.5m; adjusted operating profit (AOP) increased 11% from £8.0m to £8.9m; and AOP margin hit 50.7%, from an already-impressive 50.1% in H1-23. These margins are far above any comparable business (see page 7).
We highlight the significant growth potential going forward (detailed on pages 9-12): Tatton is in a growing market with significant tailwinds; it has a market-leading proposition and is gaining market share; it has a huge opportunity to grow AUM even without winning new clients (by increasing average AUM per client); and it can accelerate growth through strategic partnerships and acquisitions.
Our fundamental valuation is 580p per share, 18% above the current share price. We also flag that since the end of the bull market (end of 2021), investment/wealth managers and platforms have ‘de-rated’ significantly, with the median PER of a tracked peer group declining 47% from 27.6 to 14.6. We believe there is potential for a significant sector re-rating (see page 16).
