Strong 25% sales growth, a further 24% advance in membership numbers and important progress at the Masterton Bond facility were key features of a trading update released by The Artisanal Spirits Company (ASC) today. Furthermore, the company reiterated its ambition to double sales revenue between FY2020 and FY2024. With a focus on the ultra-premium category, a fast-growing global membership base and embedded value in its maturing whisky stocks - £430m at retail - we continue to argue that fair value for the shares is 150p.
The Artisanal Spirits Company’s clear and resilient route to growth, which is discussed in more detail in this report, is not reflected in the company’s share price. Putting those strengths to one side though, investors should recognise that the company’s maturing stock of Scotch whisky has an estimated value of £430m. This is more than 10 times the entire market cap of the company. The current share price shows no recognition of the intrinsic value that underpins it.
In addition to this, there are strong arguments for the shares to trade higher on revenue growth considerations. We reiterate our 150p per share fair value at which price the shares would trade on 5.5x EV/sales in FY2022 and 4.1x sales in FY2024, based on our estimates.
