Watkin Jones is a rare breed. Not only is this developer & manager of large scale, multi occupancy property bucking the wider UK economic trends. But also the company is benefiting from the long term secular tailwinds supporting in its 2 key markets - namely Build to Rent (BtR) & student accommodation (PBSA).
The business is performing well too, with the CEO Richard Simpson saying this morning that “trading remained strong through Q4’19, …[and] the Board expects to report FY19 revenues and earnings in line with expectations, together with a good cash performanceâ€.
Better still, it appears the medium term opportunity is actually much larger than we’d previously thought. With management adding that the company is now targeting an annual run-rate of 3,500 PBSA beds (vs 2,723 FY19), along with 1,000 BtR (0) apartments from FY24 onwards.
Sure, this doesn’t change our near term numbers. Yet further out it provides a material boost to our FY23-24 projections – lifting the valuation to 300p/share vs 250p before. FY19 prelims are scheduled for Tuesday 14th January 2020.
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