Confirmed double digit growth in ARR

Corero’s trading update points to double digit ARR growth and a significant beat to our FY23E EBITDA forecast. We have upgraded our full year numbers to reflect this strong bottom line performance. The new Akamai partnership has already brought two new customers to the Group and we expect to see continued momentum from this route to market.

We have left our FY24E forecasts unchanged for now. but, with a new CEO, Carl Herberger, onboard and an excellent pipeline of new business, we see plenty of capacity for upside risk to our FY24E forecasts. The business is self-sustaining and, in our view, undervalued on an EV/sales ratio of 1.8x this year. We continue to see fair value at 14p, with the potential to rise.