AUM up 30% in FY24, record flows, forecasts raised

AUM jumped £3.8bn or +30% in FY24, reaching £16.6bn on 31 Mar 24, 12% above our previous forecast of £14.7bn. Including 50%-owned 8AM Global, Assets Under Influence hit £17.6bn. Investment performance provided a tailwind, adding £1.5bn to AUM. But our key takeaway from Tatton’s hugely impressive last few years, is that it has designed and implemented a superior offering in platform-MPS with net flows consistently far higher than peers. That leadership looks even more pronounced in H2-24 with net flows of £1.4bn v £0.9bn in H1.

Forecasts increase on the jump in AUM, although Tatton has flagged that flows were elevated in H2 and unlikely to continue at quite the same level. Our fundamental value rises to 620p per share (prev. 580p). We will re-visit forecasts in June with final results and when Tatton presents an updated strategic growth target. We also flag growing trading volumes/interest in TAM shares.